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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243304060801001206212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8882
#10
17.21.8
15.617.4
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End0.4
red by 7.6
5800
#14
9.61.0
11.910.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.6
Second
11.73.0
8.611.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End0.7
red by 4.9
9991
#23
6.81.5
6.85.3
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End0.6
Third
9996
#20
9.23.0
4.17.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End0.7
red by 4.1
6902
#15
5.21.0
7.96.9
Auto0.6
Teleop3.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed