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Red50
916921.1
99976.5
960419.9
Blue59
92188.2
905013.9
960317.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49340204060801005059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.5
19.720.1
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End0.3
red by 3.3
9603
#11
17.81.5
17.919.4
Auto8.6
Teleop8.6
End0.6
Second
19.90.5
17.918.3
Auto9.3
Teleop10.0
End0.6
red by 6.0
9050
#12
13.91.5
11.613.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Third
9997
#17
6.50.7
3.54.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.7
End1.0
blue by 1.7
9218
#18
8.21.5
4.56.1
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed