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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97160501507335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.4
41.941.5
Auto16.4
Teleop24.4
End1.9
red by 29.7
9995
#19
13.01.1
7.99.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.4
Second
22.70.4
22.121.7
Auto9.9
Teleop11.9
End0.9
red by 13.4
9996
#20
9.21.1
7.08.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Third
9602
#13
14.10.4
14.714.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End0.8
red by 6.7
9990
#21
7.41.1
2.23.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed