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Red45
921921.2
888217.2
905013.9
Blue44
999513.0
91109.8
999412.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5626040801001201404544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.4
18.017.7
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End0.7
red by 8.2
9995
#19
13.01.5
9.110.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.4
Second
8882
#10
17.20.4
17.417.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End0.4
red by 4.6
9994
#16
12.61.6
10.011.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
Third
9050
#12
13.90.4
13.212.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
red by 4.1
9110
#22
9.81.0
7.28.3
Auto6.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed