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Red44
960317.8
58009.6
186022.7
Blue29
99916.8
999311.7
960214.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613002040801001201404429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.1
21.720.6
Auto9.9
Teleop11.9
End0.9
red by 8.6
9602
#13
14.10.1
14.314.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Second
9603
#11
17.81.1
19.418.3
Auto8.6
Teleop8.6
End0.6
red by 6.2
11.70.1
10.710.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End0.7
Third
5800
#14
9.61.1
10.59.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.6
red by 2.9
9991
#23
6.80.1
5.35.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed