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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3520060801005237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8882
#10
17.21.4
17.018.3
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End0.4
red by 5.2
12.01.8
8.610.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Second
9110
#22
9.81.4
8.39.6
Auto6.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7
red by 1.6
9218
#18
8.21.3
6.17.3
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.6
Third
9997
#17
6.52.0
4.36.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.7
End1.0
blue by 0.9
9990
#21
7.41.8
3.35.2
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed