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Red68
916921.1
69025.2
921921.2
Blue71
115642.7
99969.2
960419.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4376020601001201401606871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.6
17.718.3
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End0.7
blue by 21.5
42.70.2
41.541.7
Auto16.4
Teleop24.4
End1.9
Second
21.10.6
20.120.7
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End0.3
red by 1.2
19.90.2
18.318.5
Auto9.3
Teleop10.0
End0.6
Third
6902
#15
5.20.6
6.36.9
Auto0.6
Teleop3.2
End1.5
blue by 4.1
9996
#20
9.20.3
8.28.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed