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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318502040601001201404375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.5
18.318.8
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End0.7
blue by 21.5
42.70.2
41.741.9
Auto16.4
Teleop24.4
End1.9
Second
9110
#22
9.80.5
9.610.2
Auto6.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7
blue by 11.3
21.10.2
20.720.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End0.3
Third
9990
#21
7.40.7
5.25.9
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End0.5
blue by 2.3
5800
#14
9.60.2
9.49.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed