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Red57
960419.9
999513.0
999311.7
Blue47
916816.0
960214.1
92188.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454102060801001205747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.8
18.519.3
Auto9.3
Teleop10.0
End0.6
red by 3.9
16.00.4
17.116.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End0.9
Second
9995
#19
13.01.0
10.611.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.4
blue by 1.0
9602
#13
14.10.4
14.213.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Third
11.71.0
10.611.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End0.7
red by 3.5
9218
#18
8.20.4
7.36.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned