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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5635020801001205248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.4
20.621.0
Auto9.9
Teleop11.9
End0.9
red by 1.5
21.20.7
18.819.5
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End0.7
Second
19.90.4
19.319.7
Auto9.3
Teleop10.0
End0.6
red by 10.6
9996
#20
9.20.9
8.59.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Third
9990
#21
7.40.5
5.96.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End0.5
red by 0.6
9991
#23
6.80.8
5.86.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed