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Red44
999412.6
999311.7
99976.5
Blue49
960214.1
888217.2
999212.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225004060801001201404449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9994
#16
12.60.5
11.210.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
blue by 4.6
8882
#10
17.20.4
17.517.9
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End0.4
Second
11.70.5
11.611.1
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End0.7
blue by 2.4
9602
#13
14.10.4
13.814.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Third
9997
#17
6.50.5
6.86.4
Auto1.8
Teleop3.7
End1.0
blue by 5.5
12.00.4
12.312.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed