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Red29
916816.0
905013.9
91109.8
Blue50
99969.2
703314.4
186022.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444425303540505560652950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.00.8
16.615.8
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End0.9
blue by 6.7
22.70.4
21.021.3
Auto9.9
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Second
9050
#12
13.90.8
14.213.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 0.5
14.40.4
12.412.8
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Third
9110
#22
9.80.8
10.29.4
Auto6.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7
red by 0.5
9996
#20
9.20.4
9.39.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed