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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31530204060801003037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9995
#19
13.00.0
11.611.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.4
blue by 8.1
21.10.7
20.920.2
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End0.3
Second
5800
#14
9.60.0
9.69.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.6
blue by 8.2
9603
#11
17.80.7
18.718.0
Auto8.6
Teleop8.6
End0.6
Third
9218
#18
8.20.0
6.96.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.6
red by 3.0
6902
#15
5.20.7
6.15.4
Auto0.6
Teleop3.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed