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Red59
999513.0
186022.7
92188.2
Blue57
999212.0
888217.2
99969.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50350204060801005957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.4
21.722.1
Auto9.9
Teleop11.9
End0.9
red by 5.4
8882
#10
17.20.4
16.817.2
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End0.4
Second
9995
#19
13.00.4
12.012.4
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.4
red by 1.0
12.00.5
11.512.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Third
9218
#18
8.20.4
7.27.6
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.6
blue by 1.1
9996
#20
9.20.4
8.89.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End0.7