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Red50
91109.8
999311.7
905013.9
Blue40
960214.1
960317.8
69025.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334202060801001201401605040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9050
#12
13.90.3
13.613.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 3.9
9603
#11
17.80.1
17.817.8
Auto8.6
Teleop8.6
End0.6
Second
11.70.3
11.311.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End0.7
blue by 2.4
9602
#13
14.10.1
14.014.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Third
9110
#22
9.80.3
9.49.7
Auto6.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7
red by 4.6
6902
#15
5.20.1
5.15.2
Auto0.6
Teleop3.2
End1.5