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Red59
999412.6
703314.4
921921.2
Blue56
92188.2
186022.7
999513.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454901001502002505956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.1
19.719.6
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End0.7
blue by 1.5
22.70.0
21.821.7
Auto9.9
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Second
14.40.1
13.012.8
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
red by 1.4
9995
#19
13.00.1
12.012.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.4
Third
9994
#16
12.60.1
11.010.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
red by 4.4
9218
#18
8.20.0
7.37.2
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.6