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Red89
99907.4
916921.1
115642.7
Blue27
905013.9
999311.7
91109.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78280501001508927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.5
40.340.8
Auto16.4
Teleop24.4
End1.9
red by 28.8
9050
#12
13.90.2
13.713.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Second
21.10.5
18.719.2
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End0.3
red by 9.4
11.70.2
11.511.3
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End0.7
Third
9990
#21
7.40.6
4.75.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End0.5
blue by 2.4
9110
#22
9.80.2
9.69.4
Auto6.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7