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Red31
99969.2
888217.2
999212.0
Blue50
905013.9
999311.7
91109.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423202060801003150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8882
#10
17.20.2
17.917.7
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End0.4
red by 3.3
9050
#12
13.90.3
13.413.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Second
12.00.2
12.712.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 0.3
11.70.4
11.111.5
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End0.7
Third
9996
#20
9.20.2
9.99.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 0.5
9110
#22
9.80.3
9.39.6
Auto6.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7