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Red67
999412.6
703314.4
921921.2
Blue35
960214.1
960317.8
69025.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454220305060706735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.3
19.519.7
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End0.7
red by 3.4
9603
#11
17.80.1
18.017.9
Auto8.6
Teleop8.6
End0.6
Second
14.40.3
12.713.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
red by 0.4
9602
#13
14.10.1
14.314.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Third
9994
#16
12.60.3
10.711.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
red by 7.5
6902
#15
5.20.1
5.45.2
Auto0.6
Teleop3.2
End1.5