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Red63
999513.0
186022.7
92188.2
Blue59
916816.0
960419.9
99916.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465101001502006359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.4
21.321.8
Auto9.9
Teleop11.9
End0.9
red by 2.8
19.90.2
19.719.9
Auto9.3
Teleop10.0
End0.6
Second
9995
#19
13.00.4
11.612.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.4
blue by 3.0
16.00.2
15.816.0
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End0.9
Third
9218
#18
8.20.4
6.97.3
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.6
red by 1.4
9991
#23
6.80.2
6.66.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End0.6