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Red85
91478.1
998619.8
699621.2
Blue38
91469.8
56484.8
558427.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474540506070808538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.6
18.519.0
Auto10.3
Teleop8.9
End2.0
blue by 6.2
27.41.5
26.024.5
Auto11.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Second
19.81.0
11.212.2
Auto9.1
Teleop9.8
End0.8
red by 10.0
9.81.5
11.610.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Third
9147
#19
8.10.6
11.612.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End0.6
red by 3.4
5648
#18
4.81.5
6.14.6
Auto3.0
Teleop0.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned