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Red44
99878.4
453715.7
712813.7
Blue23
99924.2
643414.4
99945.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3721060804423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.70.4
16.516.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.7
red by 1.3
14.40.0
14.514.5
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Second
7128
#10
13.70.4
12.012.3
Auto7.0
Teleop5.0
End1.7
red by 8.3
9994
#16
5.40.0
3.73.7
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End1.1
Third
8.40.6
5.25.8
Auto1.7
Teleop5.7
End1.0
red by 4.2
9992
#15
4.20.0
2.72.7
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed