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Red43
558427.4
58769.8
999510.8
Blue21
91895.4
95874.5
91478.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions662204060801001204321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.5
26.626.0
Auto11.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
red by 19.3
9147
#19
8.10.7
12.311.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End0.6
Second
10.80.9
9.58.6
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End1.5
red by 5.4
9189
#13
5.40.7
6.65.9
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End0.4
Third
5876
#11
9.80.5
10.09.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End2.0
red by 5.2
9587
#17
4.50.7
6.96.2
Auto2.3
Teleop1.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed