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Red61
712813.7
477423.2
75839.1
Blue39
998619.8
99924.2
56484.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions481604060801006139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.21.3
20.621.9
Auto9.9
Teleop11.2
End2.1
red by 3.4
19.81.4
9.811.2
Auto9.1
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Second
7128
#10
13.71.3
10.712.0
Auto7.0
Teleop5.0
End1.7
red by 8.9
5648
#18
4.80.8
5.36.1
Auto3.0
Teleop0.3
End1.5
Third
7583
#12
9.11.3
10.311.6
Auto5.4
Teleop1.3
End2.4
red by 4.9
9992
#15
4.21.4
1.22.7
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed