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Red47
453715.7
999510.8
99878.4
Blue14
91469.8
91895.4
99915.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45270204060801004714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.71.5
15.116.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.7
red by 5.9
9.80.8
12.411.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Second
10.82.5
7.19.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End1.5
red by 4.9
9991
#14
5.91.4
4.43.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End0.6
Third
8.42.5
2.75.2
Auto1.7
Teleop5.7
End1.0
red by 3.0
9189
#13
5.40.8
7.46.6
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed