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Red44
643414.4
699621.2
58769.8
Blue16
99924.2
99945.4
477423.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47340204060801004416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.1
18.518.5
Auto10.3
Teleop8.9
End2.0
blue by 2.0
23.21.4
22.020.6
Auto9.9
Teleop11.2
End2.1
Second
14.40.1
14.514.5
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
red by 9.0
9994
#16
5.42.3
6.03.7
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End1.1
Third
5876
#11
9.80.1
10.010.0
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End2.0
red by 5.6
9992
#15
4.22.3
3.51.2
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed