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Red50
91895.4
453715.7
75839.1
Blue33
91469.8
91478.1
712813.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303902060801005033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4537
#7Sur
15.70.6
14.515.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.7
red by 2.0
7128
#10
13.70.2
10.910.7
Auto7.0
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Second
7583
#12
9.10.6
9.710.3
Auto5.4
Teleop1.3
End2.4
blue by 0.7
9.80.2
12.612.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Third
9189
#13
5.40.6
6.87.4
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End0.4
blue by 2.7
9147
#19
8.10.2
12.512.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed