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Red24
58769.8
477423.2
91895.4
Blue41
712813.7
643414.4
558427.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395402060801001202441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.9
22.821.8
Auto9.9
Teleop11.2
End2.1
blue by 4.3
27.40.6
25.024.4
Auto11.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Second
5876
#11
9.80.9
9.18.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End2.0
blue by 4.6
14.40.6
13.512.9
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Third
9189
#13
5.40.9
6.35.4
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End0.4
blue by 8.3
7128
#10
13.70.6
11.911.3
Auto7.0
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed