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Red31
99945.4
998619.8
95874.5
Blue24
99915.9
75839.1
91478.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25340204060801001203124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.81.0
12.213.2
Auto9.1
Teleop9.8
End0.8
red by 10.7
7583
#12
9.10.3
12.011.8
Auto5.4
Teleop1.3
End2.4
Second
9994
#16
5.41.0
3.74.7
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End1.1
blue by 2.8
9147
#19
8.10.3
12.211.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End0.6
Third
9587
#17
4.50.6
6.36.9
Auto2.3
Teleop1.0
End1.2
blue by 1.3
9991
#14
5.90.4
3.73.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed