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Red35
699621.2
712813.7
58769.8
Blue48
99878.4
999510.8
477423.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4155020801001203548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.4
19.018.6
Auto10.3
Teleop8.9
End2.0
blue by 2.0
23.20.8
22.022.8
Auto9.9
Teleop11.2
End2.1
Second
7128
#10
13.70.4
12.311.9
Auto7.0
Teleop5.0
End1.7
red by 2.8
10.81.3
8.69.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End1.5
Third
5876
#11
9.80.4
9.59.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End2.0
red by 1.3
8.41.3
5.87.1
Auto1.7
Teleop5.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed