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Red31
699621.2
453715.7
91478.1
Blue23
95874.5
999510.8
99924.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52270204060801003123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.21.8
18.616.8
Auto10.3
Teleop8.9
End2.0
red by 10.4
10.81.0
9.98.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End1.5
Second
15.71.8
16.014.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.7
red by 11.2
9587
#17
4.50.6
6.96.2
Auto2.3
Teleop1.0
End1.2
Third
9147
#19
8.11.8
11.910.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End0.6
red by 4.0
9992
#15
4.21.0
3.52.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed