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Red26
91895.4
477423.2
99945.4
Blue32
91469.8
99878.4
643414.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36330102040506070802632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.21.4
21.820.4
Auto9.9
Teleop11.2
End2.1
red by 8.8
14.40.2
12.912.7
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Second
9189
#13
5.41.4
5.44.0
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End0.4
blue by 4.4
9.80.2
10.610.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Third
9994
#16
5.42.2
4.82.6
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End1.1
blue by 3.1
8.40.4
7.16.8
Auto1.7
Teleop5.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed