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Red36
91469.8
712813.7
75839.1
Blue66
99915.9
558427.4
699621.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32530204060801003666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7128
#10
13.70.5
11.310.8
Auto7.0
Teleop5.0
End1.7
blue by 13.8
27.40.9
24.425.3
Auto11.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Second
9.80.5
10.49.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End1.3
blue by 11.4
21.20.9
16.817.7
Auto10.3
Teleop8.9
End2.0
Third
7583
#12
9.10.5
11.511.1
Auto5.4
Teleop1.3
End2.4
red by 3.2
9991
#14
5.91.3
2.94.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed