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Red50
56484.8
998619.8
643414.4
Blue27
95874.5
91895.4
453715.7
70%Model gave it30%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342301030405060705027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.81.0
13.714.7
Auto9.1
Teleop9.8
End0.8
red by 4.1
15.70.1
14.714.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.7
Second
14.40.7
12.713.3
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
red by 9.0
9189
#13
5.40.1
4.04.1
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End0.4
Third
5648
#18
4.80.7
3.74.4
Auto3.0
Teleop0.3
End1.5
red by 0.2
9587
#17
4.50.1
6.26.4
Auto2.3
Teleop1.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed