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Red31
56484.8
712813.7
99945.4
Blue26
58769.8
95874.5
91469.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192604060801001203126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7128
#10
13.70.7
10.811.6
Auto7.0
Teleop5.0
End1.7
red by 3.9
9.80.2
9.99.7
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Second
9994
#16
5.41.1
2.63.7
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End1.1
blue by 4.4
5876
#11
9.80.2
8.07.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End2.0
Third
5648
#18
4.80.7
4.45.1
Auto3.0
Teleop0.3
End1.5
red by 0.2
9587
#17
4.50.2
6.46.2
Auto2.3
Teleop1.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed