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Red30
643414.4
91478.1
99915.9
Blue82
699621.2
75839.1
558427.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286002040801003082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.40.1
13.313.2
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 13.0
27.41.2
25.326.5
Auto11.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Second
9147
#19
8.10.1
9.99.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End0.6
blue by 13.1
21.21.2
18.519.7
Auto10.3
Teleop8.9
End2.0
Third
9991
#14
5.90.1
4.34.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End0.6
blue by 3.2
7583
#12
9.11.2
10.011.2
Auto5.4
Teleop1.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned