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Red31
58769.8
99878.4
99945.4
Blue24
56484.8
91478.1
453715.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163304060803124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5876
#11
9.81.0
7.88.7
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End2.0
blue by 5.9
15.70.5
14.814.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.7
Second
8.41.3
5.26.5
Auto1.7
Teleop5.7
End1.0
red by 0.3
9147
#19
8.10.5
9.89.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End0.6
Third
9994
#16
5.41.3
3.75.0
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End1.1
red by 0.6
5648
#18
4.80.5
5.14.6
Auto3.0
Teleop0.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed