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Red33
643414.4
91469.8
99924.2
Blue32
99945.4
99915.9
999510.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29340204060803332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.40.0
12.812.7
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
red by 3.6
10.81.1
11.210.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End1.5
Second
9.80.0
11.011.0
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End1.3
red by 3.9
9991
#14
5.91.1
5.64.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End0.6
Third
9992
#15
4.20.0
4.54.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.6
blue by 1.2
9994
#16
5.41.1
6.25.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed