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Red14
75839.1
95874.5
453715.7
Blue66
477423.2
558427.4
99878.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28680204060801001201466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.71.2
16.415.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.7
blue by 11.7
27.40.5
26.927.4
Auto11.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Second
7583
#12
9.11.2
9.28.0
Auto5.4
Teleop1.3
End2.4
blue by 14.1
23.20.5
22.523.0
Auto9.9
Teleop11.2
End2.1
Third
9587
#17
4.51.2
6.25.1
Auto2.3
Teleop1.0
End1.2
blue by 3.9
8.40.5
8.89.3
Auto1.7
Teleop5.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed