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Red54
75839.1
477423.2
643414.4
Blue26
91478.1
99915.9
453715.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51300204060801005426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.3
23.023.4
Auto9.9
Teleop11.2
End2.1
red by 7.5
15.70.6
15.214.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.7
Second
14.40.3
13.013.3
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
red by 6.3
9147
#19
8.10.6
8.98.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End0.6
Third
7583
#12
9.10.3
8.08.3
Auto5.4
Teleop1.3
End2.4
red by 3.2
9991
#14
5.90.6
5.44.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed