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Red5
699621.2
558427.4
99924.2
Blue0
99973.7
99933.7
99983.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6131020408010012050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.41.2
27.726.5
Auto11.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
red by 23.7
9993
Unranked
3.70.5
4.74.2
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.5
Second
21.21.2
21.420.2
Auto10.3
Teleop8.9
End2.0
red by 17.5
9997
Unranked
3.70.5
4.74.2
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.5
Third
9992
#15
4.21.2
4.73.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.6
red by 0.5
9998
Unranked
3.70.5
4.74.2
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.5