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Red52
643414.4
453715.7
99915.9
Blue19
95874.5
91469.8
58769.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372701020506070805219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.70.4
14.615.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.7
red by 5.9
9.80.2
10.510.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Second
14.40.4
13.313.7
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
red by 4.6
5876
#11
9.80.2
10.510.3
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End2.0
Third
9991
#14
5.90.4
4.85.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End0.6
red by 1.3
9587
#17
4.50.2
5.35.1
Auto2.3
Teleop1.0
End1.2