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Red5
477423.2
998619.8
91478.1
Blue0
99963.7
99903.7
99993.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6215020408010050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.21.1
23.422.2
Auto9.9
Teleop11.2
End2.1
red by 19.5
9990
Unranked
3.70.5
4.74.2
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.5
Second
19.81.1
20.018.8
Auto9.1
Teleop9.8
End0.8
red by 16.1
9996
Unranked
3.70.5
4.74.2
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.5
Third
9147
#19
8.11.1
8.37.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End0.6
red by 4.4
9999
Unranked
3.70.5
4.74.2
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.5