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Red13
75839.1
99945.4
999510.8
Blue34
643414.4
56484.8
91895.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48250204060801001334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.81.0
7.26.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End1.5
blue by 3.6
14.40.2
14.614.8
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Second
7583
#12
9.10.6
10.39.7
Auto5.4
Teleop1.3
End2.4
red by 3.7
9189
#13
5.40.2
6.76.8
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End0.4
Third
9994
#16
5.41.0
4.63.6
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End1.1
red by 0.6
5648
#18
4.80.2
5.45.6
Auto3.0
Teleop0.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed