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Red16
95874.5
99878.4
58769.8
Blue61
699621.2
91469.8
477423.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2462040801001201401661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5876
#11
9.80.8
10.810.0
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End2.0
blue by 13.4
23.20.3
21.722.0
Auto9.9
Teleop11.2
End2.1
Second
8.41.3
4.43.2
Auto1.7
Teleop5.7
End1.0
blue by 12.8
21.20.3
18.418.8
Auto10.3
Teleop8.9
End2.0
Third
9587
#17
4.50.8
8.17.2
Auto2.3
Teleop1.0
End1.2
blue by 5.3
9.80.3
12.312.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed