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Red54
453715.7
999510.8
558427.4
Blue44
712813.7
998619.8
99945.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions712004060801001205444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.5
26.026.6
Auto11.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
red by 7.6
19.82.4
7.49.8
Auto9.1
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Second
15.70.6
13.914.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.7
red by 2.0
7128
#10
13.71.6
9.310.9
Auto7.0
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Third
10.80.9
6.27.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End1.5
red by 5.5
9994
#16
5.42.4
3.66.0
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed