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Red90
558427.4
99924.2
699621.2
Blue70
91478.1
998619.8
477423.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545210203040607080909070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.7
26.527.2
Auto11.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
red by 4.3
23.20.3
22.322.7
Auto9.9
Teleop11.2
End2.1
Second
21.20.7
20.321.0
Auto10.3
Teleop8.9
End2.0
red by 1.4
19.80.3
19.019.3
Auto9.1
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Third
9992
#15
4.20.7
3.54.2
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.6
blue by 4.0
9147
#19
8.10.3
7.37.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End0.6