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Red54
712813.7
91895.4
75839.1
Blue44
99915.9
453715.7
643414.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294102060801005444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7128
#10
13.70.0
13.613.6
Auto7.0
Teleop5.0
End1.7
blue by 2.0
15.70.1
15.615.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.7
Second
7583
#12
9.10.0
9.09.0
Auto5.4
Teleop1.3
End2.4
blue by 5.3
14.40.1
14.314.4
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Third
9189
#13
5.40.0
5.35.3
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End0.4
blue by 0.5
9991
#14
5.90.1
5.85.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End0.6