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Red0
99973.7
99933.7
99983.7
Blue5
95874.5
91469.8
58769.8
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322702040608010012014005

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9993
Unranked
3.70.5
4.23.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.5
blue by 6.1
9.80.6
10.49.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Second
9997
Unranked
3.70.5
4.23.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.5
blue by 6.0
5876
#11
9.80.6
10.39.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End2.0
Third
9998
Unranked
3.70.5
4.23.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.5
blue by 0.8
9587
#17
4.50.6
5.14.5
Auto2.3
Teleop1.0
End1.2