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Red0
99963.7
99903.7
99993.7
Blue5
56484.8
999510.8
99878.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1735010304050607005

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9990
Unranked
3.70.5
4.23.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.5
blue by 7.1
10.80.6
11.310.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End1.5
Second
9996
Unranked
3.70.5
4.23.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.5
blue by 4.7
8.40.6
8.98.3
Auto1.7
Teleop5.7
End1.0
Third
9999
Unranked
3.70.5
4.23.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.5
blue by 1.1
5648
#18
4.80.6
5.24.7
Auto3.0
Teleop0.3
End1.5